Mocking and Drafting

draftlogoSo, off we go, it’s Mock Draft season. The Mets pick 11th this year. I see very, very little amateur baseball. When it comes to draft coverage, I am largely and unapologetically a consumer and aggregator.

At Baseball America, Jim Callis is out with his first Mock Draft of the 2013 season. His comment:

New York appears to be targeting college bats. If Moran doesn’t get to the Mets, they’ll pick between Peterson and Missisippi State outfielder Hunter Renfroe.

The names here are UNC 3B Colin Moran, who Callis has going #9 to the Pirates, New Mexico OF DJ Peterson and Renfroe.

Peterson, in the thin air of Albuquerque is hitting .410/.521/.798 with 22 doubles and 13 homers in 43 games and of course, more walks than strikeouts (36 BB/23 K).

ESPN’s Keith Law called Renfroe’s raw power, speed and arm all “plus” in this video this week and suggested that Renfroe was a good bet for the top 15 pick. Renfroe is hitting .394/.488/.781 in 44 games with 13 doubles, 15 bombs and 29 walks against 27 whiffs.

For what it’s worth in his March Draft Top 50, ESPN’s Keith Law had Moran at #30 (“Moran can hit for average, although probably won’t hit for power, and while his hands are very good his range at third is clearly below-average, so if he has to go to first base he’ll need to project for more power or for a 60-or-better hit tool.”) and Peterson at #43 (“Peterson is a rarity: a short (by first base standards), right/right first baseman, but he has a solid history of hitting (boosted by an incredibly hitter-friendly home park) and a swing geared for contact.”)

Moran is hitting .386/.508/.636 in 48 games with eight doubles and 12 homers to go with a ridiculous 44 walks against 11 strikeouts.

 

Also at ESPN, Jason Churchill thinks that there will be an early run on bats because there is more depth among the arms. This was part of the Mets’ rationale in 2011 when the team drafted Brandon Nimmo at #11 and knew that there would be arms like Michael Fulmer available at #44.

Churchill throws the following theory out:

The draft has changed in recent years, going from a best-player-available venture to one where clubs more often draft for organizational need.

This is really interesting. He presents it as fact, but I’d sure like to see the supporting evidence.

Chris Crawford at MLBDraftInsider tied the Mets to Stanford OF product Austin Wilson.

Law had Wilson ranked #5 in March, writing, “Wilson suffered a stress reaction in his elbow in the first weekend of the season and hasn’t played since, although he should be back by the time Stanford begins conference play. He remains the draft’s best shot for a complete position player from the college ranks, someone who can hit, hit for power, and provide value on defense.” Callis had Wilson slipping to #17 and the White Sox in his mock.

Wilson is 6’5″, 245 lbs and hitting .315/.412/.562 in 73 AB with 10 XBH, eight walks and 11 strikeouts over 19 games with the Cardinal since his return.

Of this group of college hitter names, I like Renfroe and Wilson the best as they seem to offer the most in tools while filling a gaping organizational need for outfield offense.