Minor Leaguer Hot/Not for August

Who’s hot and who’s not? Some of these minor leaguers have even turned their hot streaks into big league looks…


Triple-A
Hot

Hitters
Matt den Dekker – In 45 games between June 19 and August 7, den Dekker hit .402/.487/.665 with 21 doubles, five triples and four home runs in Triple-A with 25 walks against 26 strikeouts. In advanced stats, that’s a .463 BABIP, a 13 percent walk rate and a 14 percent strikeout rate. His ascent to the top five in the PCL in average, on-base and slugging at .334/.407/.540 overall in 93 games also earned him another big league opportunity as a 27th birthday gift.

LV_MonteroMatt Reynolds – The 23-year-old SS has hit .405/.452/.541 in nine games in August. In 47 games in the PCL, he’s up to .337/.390/.470 with a .426 BABIP, 21.9 percent strikeout rate and a 7.5 percentwalk rate with a 1.5 percent home run rate. We went over this profile last week – he has to either run extremely high BABIPs in the big leagues, or bump his power up a little to make it work as a MLB starter with this walk/strikeout combination.

Pitchers
Rafael Montero
– His last two starts: 14.2 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 17 K. Las Vegas 51s pitching coach Frank Viola thinks Montero has his “feel and confidence” back. Oh, and he’s heading back to the big leagues to take Jacob deGrom’s spot in the Mets’ rotation.

Noah Syndergaard – His last four starts: 22.1 IP, 24 H, 6 R, 3 ER, 9 BB, 24 K, 1.21 ERA with opponents hitting .286/.362/.333 against him. He’s doing better, in the hot-hitting PCL, no less.

Not

Hitters

Josh Satin – .120/.267/.280 in seven games in August and .284/.380/.439 in 81 games in Triple-A this year.

Pitchers

John Lannan – Last two starts: 0-1, 8.44 ERA with six walks and five strikeouts.


Double-A
Hot

Hitters

Brandon Nimmo – since July 24 – .348/.464/.543 with three doubles, three triples and 10 walks against nine strikeouts in his last 13 games. He missed five games with a bruised hand, but the 21-year-old is just fine. At 44 games, he’s hit .236/.362/.414 overall in Double-A, while reaching base safely in 39 of his 42 games started at the level.

dilson-herrera-takes-a-practice-swingDilson Herrera – In the last 28 days, Herrera has hit .349/.404/.627 with five doubles, three triples, four home runs, and seven walks against 15 strikeouts in 21 games. At age 20, Herrera is raking at .337/.401/.556 in 44 games for the B-Mets as the second-youngest player in the League and the youngest position player.

Pitchers

Steven Matz – His last two starts: 13 IP, 10 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 HBP, 3 BB, 12 K, a .213 opponent  batting average and a 0.00 ERA. In nine starts in Double-A, he’s run a 2.48 ERA with 49 strikeouts (21.9 percent) against 12 walks (5.4 percent). He’s working on refining his curveball and may be on pace for a 2015 MLB debut.

Not

Hitters

Wilfredo Tovar – In nine games since returning from the DL, Tovar is 6-for-35 (.171), but on the plus side has four doubles.

Pitchers

Gabriel Ynoa - His last three starts: 15 IP, 12 R, 12 ER, 4 BB, 5 K, 4 HR – 7.20 ERA and an opponents’ batting line of .306/.343/.597. Ynoa isn’t missing any bats, and he’s getting hurt badly on contact as he’s run a 4.89 ERA in seven starts in Double-A in which opponents have run a .481 slugging percentage against him.


Advanced Single-A
Hot

Hitters

Gavin Cecchini – The 20-year-old’s last 12 games: .366/.462/.512 with three doubles, and a home run and eight walks against one strikeout. He’s run a .341 BABIP, which is high, but hardly outlandish. The really remarkable thing he’s done recently is controlled the strike zone, with one strikeout in his last 52 PA, while his eight walks suggest he’s working counts and not just hacking early at the plate. He’s at .228/.306/.316 overall in 46 games in advanced Single-A, so far.

Jeff McNeil - He’s hit safely in 14 of his last 15 games since July 23, hitting .345/.422/.455 in that time to push his overall line in St. Lucie to .275/.358/.366 while playing all but one of his games at third at age 22.

Fulmer 7-19-12 delivery (Devyatkin)Pitchers

Dario Alvarez – After an overdue promotion from the SAL, Alvarez has struck out eight of the 15 batters he has faced, while yielding one hit over 4 2/3 innings. He’s older, his slider needs to be tightened, but he could probably pitch out of a Double-A bullpen now.

Lukewarm

Michael Fulmer - His last four starts have been pretty good: 20.1 IP, 20 H, 11 R, 7 ER, 8 BB, 27 K, 3.10 ERA, with opponents’ hitting .250/.333/.263 and a 30 percent strikeout rate against an 8.9 percent walk rate.

Not

Hitters

Phillip Evans – In his last 16 games, Evans has hit .070/.185/.088 (4-for-65) to pull his overall batting line down to .226/.292/.298 as a 21-year-old in the FSL. Ouch.


Single-A
Hot

Hitters

Dominic Smith – In nine games since the calendar flipped to August, Smith has hit .310/.375/.517 with three doubles and his first home run of the year. The 19-year-old is hitting .285/.355/.352 in 111 games this year with 24 doubles and one home run. He’s shown plate discipline however, with a 9.5 percent walk rate and a 15.9 percent strikeout rate.

Pitchers

Robert Gsellman – His last four starts: 26.2 IP, 21 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 25 – 0.68 ERA and an opponents’ line of .212/.243/.263 in 105 PA. Gsellman has found a little more touch on his curveball, and that, combined with his command of his fastball, and his feel for his changeup has been way too much for SAL hitters.

Not

Hitters

Champ Stuart – It’s been a slow three weeks for Stuart, as he’s been nicked up a little and has one extra-base hit in his last 19 games, going .153/.242/.186 in that game with five walks against 24 strikeouts since July 20. The speedster is down to .257/.359/.319 in 63 games overall, although he is 22-for-25 stealing bases.

Pitchers

The Bullpen – But it’s Single-A, it happens.


Short Season Single-A
Hot

michael-conforto-heads-for-thirdHitters 

Michael Conforto – Despite going hitless in games on Saturday and Sunday, the Mets’ first-round pick this year is hitting .301/.385/.446  with eight extra-base hits and 11 walks against 15 strikeouts in 22 games as a Cyclone. St. Lucie remains 4.5 games out of a playoff berth, so the bet here is that Conforto will spend at least another week with the Cyclones to help his current team, which is currently tied for the wild card lead, qualify for the playoffs. If he looks like he’s conquered the league, the Mets could move him to Savannah at any time to let him extend his professional season in the SAL playoffs.

Pitchers

Marcos Molina – The 19-year-old struck out a season-high 11 batters in his last start and now leads the NYP in strikeouts with 61 in 55.2 innings. In the NYP, he’s second in ERA (1.78), fifth in innings (55.2) and first in WHIP (0.90). He’s too good for the NYP.

Not

Hitters

The Mets went overslot to sign Tomas Nido two years ago. On the heels of a .211/.333/.211 start to August, he’s down to .248/.305/.284 in 45 games with the Cyclones as a 20-year-old and has mixed in a two games at first.

Pitchers

Bullpen – It’s short-season ball. It happens.


Rookie League – Appalachian League
Hot

Hitters

Wuilmer Becerra – The “other” guy in the R.A. Dickey trade is fifth in the Appalachian League with a .315 batting average and fifth in slugging at .483. In 41 games, he’s added in eight doubles, a triple and five home runs. He needs to learn to control the strike zone as his 36/9 K/BB ratio suggests, but there are tools here: batspeed and strength. In his last 27 games, the 20-year-old has hit .363/.394/.559 with 11 extra-base hits, five walks and 23 whiffs.

Pitchers

Andrew Church - The last four starts for last year’s second-round pick: 24 IP, 20 H, 9 R, 3 ER, 5 BB, 17 K… with a .217/.265/.250 opponents’ batting line. However, add the unearned runs back in and he’s allowed 3.24 R/9 IP.

Not

Hitters

Ivan Wilson – Last year’s third round pick, Wilson is 2-for-23 (.087) in nine games in August, with 15 strikeouts against one walk. One of the hits was a home run — but yeesh. Wilson has hit .173/.250/.353 with 71 strikeouts (!) in 42 games this year.

Pitchers

Blake Taylor – Taylor, the lefthander the Mets received in the Ike Davis deal with the Pirates, has more walks (16) than strikeouts (13) in 22 innings over five starts in the Appy League.


Numbers mean very, very little in the GCL and below so we’ll stop the Hot/Not series here.