Top 41 Prospects Review: #21-25 (Philip Evans through Jefry Marte)

So, I started to do this as a mid-season prospect review, then got derailed by a few other projects. Instead this will become a piece of the post-season wrap of 2012 around here.

Part three, on players 26-30 is here, part two on players 31-35 is here, part one, on players #36-41 is here.

 

#21 – Philip Evans
What I Thought: After the Mets signed him for the third-largest bonus in their 2011 draft class, he was a worthwhile middle infield prospect.
Reality: He’s a worthwhile middle infield prospect. Evans clearly made use of his winter, and spring, by the time he reported to Brooklyn, the 19-year old’s arms were huge by minor league or middle-infielder standards anywhere. I saw him make solid contact, but nearly everything was yanked in the direction of left-center field. He’s already patient for a young hitter. However, he’ll need to learn to go the other way at least a little bit to keep his average up at higher levels. I’m not sold that Evans’ has the range to play shortstop everyday (see also: only two stolen bases in 73 games in Brooklyn), or the arm.
Stock: Similar
On the Next Top 41? Yup.

Basic


G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG
2011 Total 9 34 10 4 0 0 3 5 .294 .351 .412
2012 NYP 73 294 74 8 1 5 31 48 .252 .328 .337

Advanced


XBH% SO% BB% HR% BABIP ISO
2011 TOT 10.8 13.5 8.1 0.0 .345 .118
2012 NYP 4.3 14.6 9.4 1.5 .285 .085

 

#22 – LHP Juan Urbina
What I Thought: He was a projectable left-hander.
Reality: He’s a rail-thin 6’2″ with little strength and no stuff. The night I saw him in Brooklyn, he topped out at 86 mph with his fastball that he had trouble locating, and mixed in a lousy, slurvy breaking ball.
Stock: Gone. (As an aside, ranking him at #14 two years ago looks awful.)
On the Next Top 41? No chance.

Basic


ERA G/GS IP H R ER HR BB SO
10 GCL 5.03 11/11 48.33 54 32 27 5 14 38
11 APP 5.95 12/12 56 68 43 37 9 20 49
12 NYP 3.60 3/0 5 4 2 2 0 3 5
12 APP 5.11 9/0 12.33 9 7 7 0 16 18

 

#23 – RHP Chris Schwinden
What I Thought: He had a chance as a fifth starter/long man type.
Reality: He was designated for assignment and claimed four different times in a month, passing from the Mets to the Jays to the Yankees, to the Indians and back to the Mets. That’s pretty funny. Certainly funnier than his 0-1 record and 12.46 ERA with 13 runs on 15 hits allowed in 8.2 innings in the big leagues this year. Returned to AAA, he was a capable AAA starter.
Stock: Nearly zero.
On the Next Top 41?  No

 

#24 – INF Josh Satin

What I Thought: He was going to be a big league utility guy.
Reality: Satin picked up one big league plate appearance, was designated for assignment, cleared waivers and then served as a everyday guy in AAA, rotating between first base (79 games), second (36) and third (9) over the course of 131 games.
Stock: Priced at only a penny
On the Next Top 41? Nope. He’ll be 28 by Opening Day 2013. He’ll play in AAA for a few more years but will never be a valuable big league roster piece.

 

Basic

G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SF SAC HBP AVG OBP SLG
2011 AA 94 338 110 35 2 11 57 91 5 0 4 .325 .423 .538
2011 AAA 38 145 46 8 0 1 14 33 0 0 1 .317 .381 .393
2011 Minors 132 483 156 43 2 12 71 124 5 0 5 .323 .411 .495
2011 MLB 15 25 5 1 0 0 1 11 0 0 1 .200 .259 .240
2012 AAA 131 441 126 25 1 14 77 109 6 0 3 .286 .391 .442

 

 

#25 – 3B Jefry Marte

What I Thought: Marte’s walk and strikeout rates showed improvement in an otherwise quiet 2011 in St. Lucie. Concerns about his defense and eventual ceiling kept him down the list.
Reality: More of the same, but just a little bit better all the way across the board at a higher level in the season in which he turned 21. His strikeout rate ticked down, his walk rate and extra-base hit rates ticked up, and his isolated slugging all rose. His 16 errors were his fewest over a full season.
Stock: Quietly, up.
On the Next Top 41? Yes

 

Basic


G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SF SAC HBP AVG OBP SLG OPS
2011 FSL 131 483 120 22 2 7 41 86 6 0 7 .248 .313 .346 .659
2012 EL 129 462 116 20 3 9 43 76 2 0 6 .251 .322 .366 .687

Advanced


XBH% SO% BB% HR% BABIP ISO
2011 FSL 5.8 16.0 7.6 1.3 .285 .097
2012 EL 6.2 14.8 8.4 1.8 .282 .115