Top 41 Prospects Review: #21-25 (Philip Evans through Jefry Marte)
So, I started to do this as a mid-season prospect review, then got derailed by a few other projects. Instead this will become a piece of the post-season wrap of 2012 around here.
Part three, on players 26-30 is here, part two on players 31-35 is here, part one, on players #36-41 is here.
#21 – Philip Evans
What I Thought: After the Mets signed him for the third-largest bonus in their 2011 draft class, he was a worthwhile middle infield prospect.
Reality: He’s a worthwhile middle infield prospect. Evans clearly made use of his winter, and spring, by the time he reported to Brooklyn, the 19-year old’s arms were huge by minor league or middle-infielder standards anywhere. I saw him make solid contact, but nearly everything was yanked in the direction of left-center field. He’s already patient for a young hitter. However, he’ll need to learn to go the other way at least a little bit to keep his average up at higher levels. I’m not sold that Evans’ has the range to play shortstop everyday (see also: only two stolen bases in 73 games in Brooklyn), or the arm.
Stock: Similar
On the Next Top 41? Yup.
Basic
| G | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| 2011 Total | 9 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | .294 | .351 | .412 |
| 2012 NYP | 73 | 294 | 74 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 48 | .252 | .328 | .337 |
Advanced
| XBH% | SO% | BB% | HR% | BABIP | ISO | |
| 2011 TOT | 10.8 | 13.5 | 8.1 | 0.0 | .345 | .118 |
| 2012 NYP | 4.3 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 1.5 | .285 | .085 |
#22 – LHP Juan Urbina
What I Thought: He was a projectable left-hander.
Reality: He’s a rail-thin 6’2″ with little strength and no stuff. The night I saw him in Brooklyn, he topped out at 86 mph with his fastball that he had trouble locating, and mixed in a lousy, slurvy breaking ball.
Stock: Gone. (As an aside, ranking him at #14 two years ago looks awful.)
On the Next Top 41? No chance.
Basic
| ERA | G/GS | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | |
| 10 GCL | 5.03 | 11/11 | 48.33 | 54 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 38 |
| 11 APP | 5.95 | 12/12 | 56 | 68 | 43 | 37 | 9 | 20 | 49 |
| 12 NYP | 3.60 | 3/0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 APP | 5.11 | 9/0 | 12.33 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 18 |
#23 – RHP Chris Schwinden
What I Thought: He had a chance as a fifth starter/long man type.
Reality: He was designated for assignment and claimed four different times in a month, passing from the Mets to the Jays to the Yankees, to the Indians and back to the Mets. That’s pretty funny. Certainly funnier than his 0-1 record and 12.46 ERA with 13 runs on 15 hits allowed in 8.2 innings in the big leagues this year. Returned to AAA, he was a capable AAA starter.
Stock: Nearly zero.
On the Next Top 41? No
What I Thought: He was going to be a big league utility guy.
Reality: Satin picked up one big league plate appearance, was designated for assignment, cleared waivers and then served as a everyday guy in AAA, rotating between first base (79 games), second (36) and third (9) over the course of 131 games.
Stock: Priced at only a penny
On the Next Top 41? Nope. He’ll be 28 by Opening Day 2013. He’ll play in AAA for a few more years but will never be a valuable big league roster piece.
Basic
| G | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | SF | SAC | HBP | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| 2011 AA | 94 | 338 | 110 | 35 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 91 | 5 | 0 | 4 | .325 | .423 | .538 |
| 2011 AAA | 38 | 145 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .317 | .381 | .393 |
| 2011 Minors | 132 | 483 | 156 | 43 | 2 | 12 | 71 | 124 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .323 | .411 | .495 |
| 2011 MLB | 15 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | .259 | .240 |
| 2012 AAA | 131 | 441 | 126 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 77 | 109 | 6 | 0 | 3 | .286 | .391 | .442 |
What I Thought: Marte’s walk and strikeout rates showed improvement in an otherwise quiet 2011 in St. Lucie. Concerns about his defense and eventual ceiling kept him down the list.
Reality: More of the same, but just a little bit better all the way across the board at a higher level in the season in which he turned 21. His strikeout rate ticked down, his walk rate and extra-base hit rates ticked up, and his isolated slugging all rose. His 16 errors were his fewest over a full season.
Stock: Quietly, up.
On the Next Top 41? Yes.
Basic
| G | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | SF | SAC | HBP | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
| 2011 FSL | 131 | 483 | 120 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 86 | 6 | 0 | 7 | .248 | .313 | .346 | .659 |
| 2012 EL | 129 | 462 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .251 | .322 | .366 | .687 |
Advanced
| XBH% | SO% | BB% | HR% | BABIP | ISO | |
| 2011 FSL | 5.8 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 1.3 | .285 | .097 |
| 2012 EL | 6.2 | 14.8 | 8.4 | 1.8 | .282 | .115 |

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