2005-2008 Draft Grades

Baseball America recently handed out Draft Report Card grades for all MLB teams from 2005-2008. According to BA’s Jim Callis, the grades are solely on the quality of the draftees signed, and not on the number of picks added/lost through free-agent compensation, the amount of money spent, whom the players may have been traded for or unsigned players who became prominent.
The grading scale is:

Here are the NL East grades:

Team 2008 2007 2006 2005 GPA
Marlins C A B B+ 3.13
Braves C A C A 3.00
Phillies B B A C 3.00
Nationals D B+ D A 2.38
Mets B D C C+ 2.13
MLB AVG 2.87 2.57 2.53 2.68 2.66

The only thing I can think of for Mets fans is EPIC FAIL… The Mets ranked 25th out of 30 overall and 14th out of 16 in the NL. The issue of not drafting overslot has contributed to this poor showing, but this is a direct reflection on the scouting and player development departments. Have the Mets had good prospects, yes. Have the Mets developed some lower profile prospects, yes. So it is not a total disaster.

The fact that we are last in the NL East in this particular area, is telling to the state of the farm system and the state of the current Mets 40-man roster. Only Jose Reyes, David Wright, Jon Niese, Daniel Murphy, Mike Pelfrey, Bobby Parnell, Josh Thole, Eddie Kunz, Tobi Stoner, Shawn Bowman, Fernando Martinez, and Nick Evans have been either drafted or signed originally by the Mets organization (Angel Pagan was drafted by the Mets, but was then sold to the Cubs in 2006 where he later was called up). That is 12 out of 40 (30%), of which only Reyes, Wright, Murphy, Pelfrey, and Parnell have been major contributors. That would be 5 out of 40 (12.5%). This is a major reason for the annual need to sign high profile free agents, the lack of developing ML caliber players within the farm system. With that being said, I believe the current state of the farm is not as bad as it may seem. With Mejia, Martinez, Davis, Holt, Flores, Thole, Niese, Havens, and others, the farm is progressing, albeit slowly, but progressing nonetheless.

There are 7 comments

  1. NateW

    Its actually darn near impossible to have less than 15 of your own players on the 40 man roster. The 15 who aren’t on the 25 man should almost always be internal products…

    Epic fail is right. Bad scouting of who to draft, poor drafting in not getting players signed and not going after over-slot players, and then failure to develop the players that they do get signed. Yup

  2. NateW

    That 2008 draft was looked at as a major thing for the Mets, but the B grade suggests there are teams that do that just about every year. Havens, Davis, Holt… every year? Its hard to even conceptualize the Mets being able to do that.

    The two D’s by the Nats are hard to understand considering they get a top 5 pick every year…

  3. theperfectgame

    On the bright side (per the baseball cube)…

    No 2005 draft pick has more MLB wins than Mike Pelfrey (28).

    No pitcher drafted in 2006 has made as many appearances as Mets draftee Joe Smith (173).

    Among 2006 draft picks, only 3rd overall pick Evan Longoria (279) has played in as many games as Daniel Murphy (204). And only Longoria (198) and 5th rounder Chris Davis (114) have more RBI than Murphy (80).

    The Mets are one of just 13 teams that have seen at least one member of the 2007 draft class play in the Major Leagues (Eddie Kunz).

    As for 2008, only 7 players have made their big league debuts, none of whom have been Mets.

    Hey, I didn’t say the bright side was terribly bright.

    1. Toby Hyde

      Actually, the Mets 2005 draft, which also has Jon Niese (7), Bobby Parnell (9) and Josh Thole (13) has a chance to work out really well.

      06: Joe Smith is of course, no longer Mets property. That will probably be the only time I read Daniel Murphy’s name in the same paragraph as Evan Longoria’s – I hope. The best thing you can say about that 06 class is that Kevin Mulvey was shipped to the Twins for Santana.

      07: If that draft turns out to be a success, it won’t be because of Eddie Kunz, who just hasn’t improved much. Nope, it’ll be on Eric Niesen turning into a useful arm, Scott Moviel improving dramatically, Brant Rustich learning to stay healthy, or Zach Lutz or Richard Lucas hitting their way into relevence. Those are long odds all the way around. That draft, with Nathan Vineyard quitting, and Stephen Clyne regressing badly looks awful.

      1. theperfectgame

        Agreed on all counts. My comment was just looking at players who have already contributed (directly) in any capacity on the ML level. It was also meant to be somewhat tongue in cheek.

      2. Toby Hyde

        Of course you were being tongue in cheek. I should just always expect that from you and using Big Pelf’s wins should have clued me in!

  4. MarcMangot

    I may be going out on a limb, but I’d venture to say that the lack of home-grown talent on the 40-man roster (and especially the 25-man roster) has a lot to do with the awful drafting and international signing record that the Mets had between 2000 and 2004. I went on Mets.com (http://newyork.mets.mlb.com/team/draft.jsp?c_id=nym) and looked at the draft results for those years. The only Major League impact players from those years were the 1st round draft picks (plus Reyes, I guess). [1st round talent = Heilman, Wright, Kazmir and Milledge. Other talent that made it to the majors = Lindstrom and Bannister, I guess. Maybe Humber, Carp and Nick Evans as well, if you want to stretch.]

    The Mets certainly have had issues with drafting and developing the right players since 2005 as well, but I’m surprised at some of the grades – particularly 2005 and 2008. 2005 brought Pelfrey, Niese, Parnell and Thole and it got a C+? Maybe if Niese and Thole make it to the Majors the draft grade would bump up. Which kind of leads to my next point….

    How should you judge a particular GM and front office on player acquisition and development? For example, (maybe this is revisionist history because I didn’t follow the minors too much before the past couple of years) Minaya comes in in 2005 to an absolutely barren farm system, so he has to start signing free agents to fill the roster. This hikes the payroll and deprives the organization of valuable 1st round picks to stock the farm. The player acquisition problem continues. Is it Minaya’s fault, or is it the fault of Phillips and Duquette. Probably a combination, I guess, which is why you should fault the organization as whole.

    To take it one step further (and apologies for the long post), (1) Minaya tries to make up for the loss of 1st rounders by saying that he’ll acquire international talent. Problem is most of this talent is 16 and 17 year old kids that take a long time to make it to the upper levels of the minors / the majors. So, guys like F-Mart and Mejia (next year) are just starting to break onto the 40-man. (2) Most guys drafted in 2007 or later probably aren’t making it to the 40-man roster yet either (across the major leagues, not just on the Mets). The pre-2005 talent, and the 2005 and 2006 draft talent are really the players that should be populating the roster.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s