John Sickels Mets Prospect List

At SBNation’s Minorleagueball.com, John Sickels released his Mets Top 20 Monday evening.

Remember, Sickels looks very, very heavily at stats, and usually prefers upper level players.

His list:

1. Noah Syndergaard
2. Travis d’Arnaud
3. Rafael Montero
4. Dominic Smith
5. Kevin Plawecki
6. Wilmer Flores
7. Brandon Nimmo
8. Amed Rosario
9. Gavin Cecchini
10. Cesar Puello
11. Dilson Herrera
12. Jake deGrom
13. Vic Black
14. Steven Matz
15. Cory Mazzoni
16. Gabriel Ynoa
17. Luis Cessa
18. Robert Whalen
19. Chris Flexen
20. Michael Fulmer

My Thoughts
1. I view Sickels as generally preferring upper-level players. So, it’s weird to see Cesar Puello, a guy who conquered AA in 2013, and yes, was connected to Biogenesis, below three guys who have yet to play in full-season ball, and two more players who have not had an at-bat in AA.

2. Steven Matz has plenty of risk (see: age, injury history) but I think he belongs at least in front of relief types like deGrom and Black. Sickels, however, views Matz as closer to the bottom six spots on the list than the guys in front of him, writing before his Matz comment, “At this point, the C+ guys become more or less interchangeable and a matter of taste, so please don’t get bent out of shape about the exact spotting.”

3. I don’t get Plawecki at #5. It puts him ahead of the “ceiling” guys like Nimmo, Rosario and Matz. I just don’t understand having Plawecki in front of Puello. Is this a ceiling calculation? A likelihood that Plawecki is an everyday guy (~2.5 WAR ish) and Puello isn’t? Anyway, it’s a strong bet on Plawecki.

4. Michael Fulmer at the back end of the righties in front of him is not the decision I make in that spot.

5. Robert Whalen is a Top 20 Mets prospect in John Sickels’ world!

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