Mike Newman of Fangraphs saw Rainy Lara and Gabriel Ynoa last week and wrote about it. He really likes Ynoa.
Lara is a decent pitching prospect, but Ynoa is the gem of the Savannah pitching staff. Look for the 19-year old to vault up Mets mid-season prospect lists and into the top eight overall by season’s end.
As a prospect, I’d prefer only Brandon Nimmo on the Savannah roster. With continued development, Ynoa projects as a mid-rotation starter — Especially if the curveball stabilizes as an average pitch.
A couple of things here.
- The velo on Ynoa is real. Newman had him sitting 91-92, touching 93. In his last start at home, he hit 94 a few times and even 95 once, I was told while sitting 92.
- I like Steven Matz’s arm too and the secondary stuff is coming along. It’s too early for me to say I’d take either Matz or Ynoa over the other, but I get to see them each maybe 10-15 more times if they’re healthy and in Savannah.
Lets play compare and contrast on Rainy Lara
Mike Newman on Rainy Lara:
Lara is not an impact talent, but has a Major League future if he remains healthy. Look for him to become an up-and-down guy who sticks around forever due to command and feel for a changeup.
Zach Mortimer at Baseball Prospectus on Rainy Lara:
saw him firsthand; not a prospect; uses deceptive low-three-quarters arm slot; fastball sits in low 90s with some movement; messy slider; below-average changeup; taking advantage of inexperienced hitters; 24.0 IP, 21 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 24 K in four starts this season.
I just saw Lara’s best start of the year on Saturday. Both guys are right – Lara’s offspeed stuff, his slider and his changeup are below average pitches right now. But he’s pitching in a-ball now – the weird thing would be if he actually had a MLB caliber breaking ball regularly. (I cannot emphasize this enough. There’s a reason all of these players are in a-ball. If they had big league sliders, they wouldn’t be in a-ball. It sounds like a tautology, but it’s true.) Lara has has some feel for both. Saturday for example, he threw 17 of 24 sliders for strikes.
I’m a whole lot closer to Newman on this one. It’s not hard to see Lara as a middle reliever.
More Mortimer, now on Aderlin Rodriguez:
“easy plus raw power; violent swinger; could wind up a base-clogger; fringy prospect.”
Is this tongue-in-cheek? Base-clogger is used now mostly by the clueless and the ironic (see: this wonderful old FJM piece).
Besides, base-cloggers have to……. get on base. Rodriguez sure has not done that yet this year: he has a .215 OBP and his two walks in 22 games. Is he slow? Absolutely, yes. Quite. “Wind up” nothing. He’s already a well below average runner. Was this all a fancy way to say he’s slow? In which case, yeah, he’s slow.
NYP on Jack Leathersich
Now that Tim Bontemps has graduated from his old “Beating the Bushes” gig to the Brooklyn Nets, Jonathan Lehman is writing about the minor leagues for the NY Post and did a piece on Jack Leathersich.
Leathersich has a remarkable early line for AA Binghamton: 11 IP, 6 H, 0 R, 9 BB, 18 K. He’s fanned 38% of the hitters he has faced and walked 19%. Carlos Marmol had the highest walk rate amon qualified relievers in 2012 at 18.2%. He was the only guy above 14.2%. So, that’s an issue.