Again, this is a post-season review of my Preseason Top 41 Mets Prospects, which I’m making part of the Mets’ minor league season in review.
This group 16-20, is a fascinating five-some.
#16 – C Albert Cordero
What I Thought: He had the defensive skills to catch in the big leagues, making him a safe, by a-ball standards, pick to reach the big leagues and following a second-half surge in 2011 with markedly improved plate discipline, his bat had progressed to the point where he could be an MLB starter.
Reality: It all fell apart for Cordero. Frustrated by being returned to Savannah, he tried to swing his way to St. Lucie in every at-bat and walked just six times in 28 games in April and May. Then, even when the walks returned, he drew them at a 14% clip from June through the end of the season, the hits did not. He struggled with his balance in his swing. Overall, simply put, hard-hit balls were few and far between.
On the Next Top 41? Unlikely.
|2011 A – SAL||104||385||110||15||2||6||15||69||5||4||9||.286||.324||.382|
|2012 A – SAL||76||252||49||13||0||2||28||43||4||2||2||.194||.276||.270|
|2011 A – SAL||5.5||16.5||3.6||1.4||.330||.096|
|2012 A – SAL||5.2||14.9||9.7||0.7||.223||.075|
#17 – SS Wilmer Flores
What I Thought: Flores was not a shortstop and aside from outstanding contact skills, had not shown the ability to hit for power or draw walks (get on base) that would make him a valuable corner guy.
Reality: Well, the Mets moved Flores off of shortstop, first to third base, and then mixed in time at second and third after he reached double-A. In addition to making a ton of contact, he began to show the power with a career-high 18 homeruns in the season in which he turned 21, that would make him a valuable piece on an infield corner.
Stock: Movin up in the world like elevators.
On the Next Top 41? Uh, yeah, like top three.
|2011 – FSL||516||139||26||2||9||27||68||8||2||6||.269||.309||.380|
|2012 – FSL||242||70||12||0||10||18||30||8||1||3||.289||.336||.463|
|2012 – EL||251||78||18||2||8||20||30||2||1||1||.311||.361||.494|
|2011 – FSL||6.6||12.2||4.8||1.6||.291||.110|
|2012 – FSL||8.1||11.0||6.6||3.7||.286||.174|
|2012 – EL||10.2||10.9||7.3||2.9||.326||.183|
**I wanted to make a point by putting Cordero, who could play a valuable defensive position above Flores, who clearly could not play short last winter. Flores’ bat progressed while the Mets worked to find him a defensive home. Cordero’s regressed. Obviously, this pair of rankings looks silly now by the end of the 2012 season.**
#18 – Matt den Dekker
What I Thought: His defense would make him a big leaguer eventually, but I was concerned that he would never hit enough to hold down an everyday job.
Reality: He blew through AA, and the strikeouts ate his batting average in AAA. He fanned in 28% of his plate appearances.
Stock: Down. I do not think he will hit enough to hold down an everyday job and he turned 25 in August, 2012.
On the Next Top 41? Probably near the end.
#19 – Josh Edgin
What I Thought: He was close to ready to contribute as a MLB bullpen LOOGY with a heavy fastball/slider combination.
Reality: Nailed it. Major League lefties hit .164/.246/.345 against him in 55 AB, while righties beat him up at .263/.364/.474 in 38 AB.
Stock: Up. He’s graduated.
On the Next Top 41? No.
#20 – Akeel Morris
What I Thought: He was a raw right-hander with a good arm.
Reality: He was even rawer than I thought, and the fastball was not quite as good. He basically had no pitching experience before the Mets drafted him, enamored with lively arm. He was sitting 92-93 with Kingsport. After allowing 10 runs in two innings his final start, and 17 runs over his final 4.1 innings as a starter in July, the Mets moved Morris to the bullpen where his results were much better. As a reliever, he fanned 27 batters and walked 10 while allowing just eight hits in 16 innings. Both runs he allowed out of the pen came on solo homers for a 1.13 ERA. At a slight 6’1″, 170, he was always a long shot to start, but now he might have a home in the bullpen.
On the Next Top 41? Perhaps near the back.